Comments for China Stocks Blog http://www.chinastocksblog.net Mon, 06 Oct 2008 19:05:44 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.3 Comment on From a soaring Bull to a biting Bear in 30 days by Mike Li http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2007/11/28/from-a-soaring-bull-to-a-biting-bear-in-30-days/#comment-262 Mike Li Wed, 03 Sep 2008 11:22:22 +0000 http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2007/11/28/from-a-soaring-bull-to-a-biting-bear-in-30-days/#comment-262 Very cognitive post. Many thanks to the author. By the way, look what I found a blog about China - http://lapsha.cn Very cognitive post. Many thanks to the author. By the way, look what I found a blog about China - http://lapsha.cn

]]> Comment on Obama’s Acceptance Speech & China by RedKemp: China News http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2008/08/29/obamas-acceptance-speech-china/#comment-222 RedKemp: China News Sat, 30 Aug 2008 22:32:18 +0000 http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2008/08/29/obamas-acceptance-speech-china/#comment-222 [...] is sad really. I wonder if this was why Obama only once directlyreferred to China in his acceptance speech, a negative one at that: We’re a better country than one where a man in Indiana has to pack up [...] […] is sad really. I wonder if this was why Obama only once directlyreferred to China in his acceptance speech, a negative one at that: We’re a better country than one where a man in Indiana has to pack up […]

]]> Comment on Who Leads in Socialism? by SanDiegoView http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2008/07/30/who-leads-in-socialism/#comment-100 SanDiegoView Fri, 01 Aug 2008 14:20:14 +0000 http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2008/07/30/who-leads-in-socialism/#comment-100 In the U.S. retail world of 'sociaism' or social responsibility it is the Costco business model vs. the WalMart. costco providing at 90-92% health care coverage for its employees as WalMart is notorious for dumping their 'associates' onto the states for health care and the taxpayer suckers to pick up the tab. Additionally the stocks ahve compared like this over the past 5 years... “WALMART STOCKHOLDERS HAVE LOST MONEY OVER THE PAST 5 YEARS IN HOLDING ONTO WALMART STOCK” WalMart (WMT) shares bought Aug. 1st 2003 at the best low 5 year price of $55.27 Dividends paid- .18 (2003), .52 (2004), .60 (2005), .69? (2006), .88 (2007), .48(.96 projection) (2008) Total dividends paid per share for cited 5 year time period $3.35 Best 52 week high to date in 2008 $59.95 Total price gain per share in cited 5 year time period $4.68 + $3.35 (Div) = $8.03 no splits for the cover time period ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Costco (COST) shares bought Aug 8th 2003 at the best low 5 year price of $29.22 Dividends paid- .00 (2003), .30 (2004), .46 (2005), .51 (2006), .55 (2007), .30 (.62 projection) (2008) total dividends paid per share for cited 5 year time period $2.12 Best 52 week high to date in 2008 $75.23 Total price gain per share in cited 5 year time period $66.01 + $2.12 (Div) = $68.13 no splits for the covered time period ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Difference of 8.48 times or 848 percent benefit in owning Costco shares over WalMart shares Aug. 2003 through best recent high of 2008 Based on the 5 year time period cited and the $7.34 gain per share in stock value for WalMart shares you would have lost money due to compounded inflation even at the official Bush government low ball inflation rate declarations for 2003 -2008 (2003 - 2.27%, 2004 - 2.68%, 2005 - 3.39%, 2006 - 3.24%, 2007 - 2.85%, 2008 - 4-5%) 55.27 inflation loss = 1.25 (2.27% full year rate) 56.52 inflation loss = 1.51 58.03 inflation loss = 1.96 59.99 inflation loss = 1.94 61.93 inflation loss = 1.76 63.69 inflation loss = 2.86 (4.5% full year rate) By the end of 2008 your WalMart shares would need to be priced at $66.55 just to stay even with official inflation figures over the past 5 years of holding WalMart stock. So far, even with the dividend per share from WaMart stock, you have lost money ( -17.27% after inflation and at$57/share [7/28/2008] not including the 5 years of total $3.35 dividend) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Based on the 5 year time period cited and the $68.13 gain per share in stock value for Costco shares you would have made money even with compounded inflation even at the official Bush government low ball inflation rate declarations for 2003 -2008 (2003 - 2.27%, 2004 - 2.68%, 2005 - 3.39%, 2006 - 3.24%, 2007 - 2.85%, 2008 - 4-5%) 29.22 inflation loss = .66 (2.27% full year rate) 29.88 inflation loss = .80 30.68 inflation loss = 1.04 31.72 inflation loss = 1.02 32.74 inflation loss = .93 33.67 inflation loss = 1.52 (4.5% full year rate) By the end of 2008 your Costco shares would need to be priced at $35.18 just to stay even with official inflation figures over the past 5 years of holding Costco stock. So far, with the dividend per share from Costco stock, you have made money (88.36% after inflation and at $61/share [7/28/2008] not including the 5 years of $2.12 total dividend) =================================================================== In the starting effort to learn and use Chinese Simplified and CIL (Chinese Internet Language) it becomes curious if the following would be blocked in China. WalMart = 是妓院精神病患者 公司 Translation… WalMart is the whorehouse psychopath company. Perhaps this is already a cliche over there and the software word censor will just blink. It is something of a cliche already here in the United States as Costco has earned the title of anti-WalMart in their socialism "treat people well" model. In the U.S. retail world of ’sociaism’ or social responsibility it is the Costco business model vs. the WalMart. costco providing at 90-92% health care coverage for its employees as WalMart is notorious for dumping their ‘associates’ onto the states for health care and the taxpayer suckers to pick up the tab.

Additionally the stocks ahve compared like this over the past 5 years…

“WALMART STOCKHOLDERS HAVE LOST MONEY OVER THE PAST 5 YEARS IN HOLDING ONTO WALMART STOCK”

WalMart (WMT) shares bought Aug. 1st 2003 at the best low 5 year price of $55.27

Dividends paid-

.18 (2003), .52 (2004), .60 (2005), .69? (2006), .88 (2007), .48(.96 projection) (2008)

Total dividends paid per share for cited 5 year time period $3.35

Best 52 week high to date in 2008 $59.95

Total price gain per share in cited 5 year time period $4.68 + $3.35 (Div) = $8.03

no splits for the cover time period

——————————————————————————————————————————

Costco (COST) shares bought Aug 8th 2003 at the best low 5 year price of $29.22

Dividends paid-

.00 (2003), .30 (2004), .46 (2005), .51 (2006), .55 (2007), .30 (.62 projection) (2008)

total dividends paid per share for cited 5 year time period $2.12

Best 52 week high to date in 2008 $75.23

Total price gain per share in cited 5 year time period $66.01 + $2.12 (Div) = $68.13

no splits for the covered time period

——————————————————————————————————————————

Difference of 8.48 times or 848 percent benefit in owning Costco shares over WalMart shares
Aug. 2003 through best recent high of 2008

Based on the 5 year time period cited and the $7.34 gain per share in stock value for WalMart shares you would have lost money due to compounded inflation even at the official Bush government low ball inflation rate declarations for 2003 -2008 (2003 - 2.27%, 2004 - 2.68%, 2005 - 3.39%, 2006 - 3.24%, 2007 - 2.85%, 2008 - 4-5%)

55.27 inflation loss = 1.25 (2.27% full year rate)

56.52 inflation loss = 1.51

58.03 inflation loss = 1.96

59.99 inflation loss = 1.94

61.93 inflation loss = 1.76

63.69 inflation loss = 2.86 (4.5% full year rate)

By the end of 2008 your WalMart shares would need to be priced at $66.55 just to stay even with official inflation figures over the past 5 years of holding WalMart stock. So far, even with the dividend per share from WaMart stock, you have lost money ( -17.27% after inflation and at$57/share [7/28/2008] not including the 5 years of total $3.35 dividend)

——————————————————————————————————————————

Based on the 5 year time period cited and the $68.13 gain per share in stock value for Costco shares you would have made money even with compounded inflation even at the official Bush government low ball inflation rate declarations for 2003 -2008 (2003 - 2.27%, 2004 - 2.68%, 2005 - 3.39%, 2006 - 3.24%, 2007 - 2.85%, 2008 - 4-5%)

29.22 inflation loss = .66 (2.27% full year rate)

29.88 inflation loss = .80

30.68 inflation loss = 1.04

31.72 inflation loss = 1.02

32.74 inflation loss = .93

33.67 inflation loss = 1.52 (4.5% full year rate)

By the end of 2008 your Costco shares would need to be priced at $35.18 just to stay even with official inflation figures over the past 5 years of holding Costco stock. So far, with the dividend per share from Costco stock, you have made money (88.36% after inflation and at $61/share [7/28/2008] not including the 5 years of $2.12 total dividend)

===================================================================

In the starting effort to learn and use Chinese Simplified and CIL (Chinese Internet Language) it becomes curious if the following would be blocked in China.

WalMart = 是妓院精神病患者 公司

Translation…

WalMart is the whorehouse psychopath company.

Perhaps this is already a cliche over there and the software word censor will just blink. It is something of a cliche already here in the United States as Costco has earned the title of anti-WalMart in their socialism “treat people well” model.

]]> Comment on Striking against inflation by Jonathan http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2008/07/03/striking-against-inflation/#comment-90 Jonathan Thu, 10 Jul 2008 20:52:05 +0000 http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2008/07/03/striking-against-inflation/#comment-90 Great article! I'm shocked that the inflation has continued to spread in the last month at such an alarming rate. Great article! I’m shocked that the inflation has continued to spread in the last month at such an alarming rate.

]]> Comment on Chinese stock market after the U.S. interest rate cut by Marc http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2008/01/23/chinese-stock-market-after-the-us-interest-rate-cut/#comment-79 Marc Mon, 30 Jun 2008 18:23:40 +0000 http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2008/01/23/chinese-stock-market-after-the-us-interest-rate-cut/#comment-79 read this interesting article about an important chinese stocks indicator http://investorsconundrum.com/english_edition/2008/06/an-indicator-to-know-when-you-should-invest-in-the-china-stock-market/ read this interesting article about an important chinese stocks indicator

http://investorsconundrum.com/english_edition/2008/06/an-indicator-to-know-when-you-should-invest-in-the-china-stock-market/

]]> Comment on Global grain drain and biofuels by Biofuels are the future http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2008/05/07/global-grain-drain-and-biofuels/#comment-49 Biofuels are the future Tue, 20 May 2008 06:00:02 +0000 http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2008/05/07/global-grain-drain-and-biofuels/#comment-49 I think the impact of biofuels on food prices is over-stated. If it were only for biofuels, inflation would have been restricted to only those crops that are used for biofuels or to those countries that use food crops for biofuels. Take the example of India. India has a surplus for most food crops. It has even banned exports of many types of commodities. Also, India uses sugarcane to produce ethanol. Sugarcane has a large over-supply. and yet the prices of most foods are shooting up in India. In my opinion, biofuels are the only solution to world's energy problems. An Indian firm Praj Industries has developed a new technology to make biofuels from non-food feedstocks. Many other companies are also working in this direction. I think second-generation biofuels hold a lot of promise. I think the impact of biofuels on food prices is over-stated.

If it were only for biofuels, inflation would have been restricted to only those crops that are used for biofuels or to those countries that use food crops for biofuels.

Take the example of India. India has a surplus for most food crops. It has even banned exports of many types of commodities.

Also, India uses sugarcane to produce ethanol. Sugarcane has a large over-supply.

and yet the prices of most foods are shooting up in India.

In my opinion, biofuels are the only solution to world’s energy problems.

An Indian firm Praj Industries has developed a new technology to make biofuels from non-food feedstocks.

Many other companies are also working in this direction.

I think second-generation biofuels hold a lot of promise.

]]> Comment on Bear Stearns implications across the markets by Stock Market For Beginners http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2008/03/17/bear-stearns-implications-across-the-markets/#comment-25 Stock Market For Beginners Tue, 18 Mar 2008 01:11:45 +0000 http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2008/03/17/bear-stearns-implications-across-the-markets/#comment-25 I have Citigroup and JPM. I'm sure glad I don't have Bear Stearns! I have Citigroup and JPM. I’m sure glad I don’t have Bear Stearns!

]]> Comment on Predictions of China’s growth by the Christmas tree by Clues on the Chinese stock market via the Year of the Rat | China Stocks Blog http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2007/12/23/predictions-of-chinas-growth-by-the-christmas-tree/#comment-24 Clues on the Chinese stock market via the Year of the Rat | China Stocks Blog Fri, 08 Feb 2008 14:30:06 +0000 http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2007/12/23/predictions-of-chinas-growth-by-the-christmas-tree/#comment-24 [...] long ago I noted that Warren Buffet had recommended caution for investments in China. And shortly there after I mentioned a trader that favors China, and the [...] […] long ago I noted that Warren Buffet had recommended caution for investments in China. And shortly there after I mentioned a trader that favors China, and the […]

]]> Comment on Chinese stock market after the U.S. interest rate cut by Clues on the Chinese stock market via the Year of the Rat | China Stocks Blog http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2008/01/23/chinese-stock-market-after-the-us-interest-rate-cut/#comment-23 Clues on the Chinese stock market via the Year of the Rat | China Stocks Blog Fri, 08 Feb 2008 14:29:17 +0000 http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2008/01/23/chinese-stock-market-after-the-us-interest-rate-cut/#comment-23 [...] Interest rates followed the U.S. and were lowered after the Federal Reserve cut in January to catch up to the recessionary pressure and mortgage crisis. Still the Shanghai Composite Index has been off some 13% year-to-date. Several popular names have taken hits like China Life Insurance, New Oriental Education & Technology, and Shanda Interactive. [...] […] Interest rates followed the U.S. and were lowered after the Federal Reserve cut in January to catch up to the recessionary pressure and mortgage crisis. Still the Shanghai Composite Index has been off some 13% year-to-date. Several popular names have taken hits like China Life Insurance, New Oriental Education & Technology, and Shanda Interactive. […]

]]> Comment on From a soaring Bull to a biting Bear in 30 days by » Predictions of China’s growth by the Christmas tree China Stocks Blog: http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2007/11/28/from-a-soaring-bull-to-a-biting-bear-in-30-days/#comment-5 » Predictions of China’s growth by the Christmas tree China Stocks Blog: Sun, 23 Dec 2007 21:00:02 +0000 http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2007/11/28/from-a-soaring-bull-to-a-biting-bear-in-30-days/#comment-5 [...] trader I met. In fact I agree with reservations. While I am perhaps more cautious than Warren Buffett, China is a market that demands attention. The only question is the one most vital to all [...] […] trader I met. In fact I agree with reservations. While I am perhaps more cautious than Warren Buffett, China is a market that demands attention. The only question is the one most vital to all […]

]]> Comment on Impending US rate cut moves China and Asian markets by 1800blogger - Blog Directory of Industry Leading Blogs http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2007/12/06/impending-us-rate-cut-moves-china-and-asian-markets/#comment-4 1800blogger - Blog Directory of Industry Leading Blogs Thu, 06 Dec 2007 21:38:07 +0000 http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2007/12/06/impending-us-rate-cut-moves-china-and-asian-markets/#comment-4 [...] The ripple effect from the mortgage crisis here in America continues to reverberate around the world. As in China and Asia “With the chance that U.S. markets will be receiving another rate cut by the Federal Reseve, Hong ... [...] […] The ripple effect from the mortgage crisis here in America continues to reverberate around the world. As in China and Asia “With the chance that U.S. markets will be receiving another rate cut by the Federal Reseve, Hong … […]

]]> Comment on Impending US rate cut moves China and Asian markets by » What’s moving gold? Gold Stocks Blog: http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2007/12/06/impending-us-rate-cut-moves-china-and-asian-markets/#comment-3 » What’s moving gold? Gold Stocks Blog: Thu, 06 Dec 2007 21:34:40 +0000 http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2007/12/06/impending-us-rate-cut-moves-china-and-asian-markets/#comment-3 [...] The ripple effect from the mortgage crisis here in America continues to reverberate around the world. As in China and Asia “With the chance that U.S. markets will be receiving another rate cut by the Federal Reseve, Hong ... [...] […] The ripple effect from the mortgage crisis here in America continues to reverberate around the world. As in China and Asia “With the chance that U.S. markets will be receiving another rate cut by the Federal Reseve, Hong … […]

]]> Comment on From a soaring Bull to a biting Bear in 30 days by » What analysts are buying for Christmas Energy Stocks Blog: http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2007/11/28/from-a-soaring-bull-to-a-biting-bear-in-30-days/#comment-2 » What analysts are buying for Christmas Energy Stocks Blog: Thu, 29 Nov 2007 23:39:34 +0000 http://www.chinastocksblog.net/2007/11/28/from-a-soaring-bull-to-a-biting-bear-in-30-days/#comment-2 [...] add to this the facts that Chinese stocks have entered a bear market, Oil prices has jumped to all time highs, and the credit markets are tightening, analysts see the [...] […] add to this the facts that Chinese stocks have entered a bear market, Oil prices has jumped to all time highs, and the credit markets are tightening, analysts see the […]

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